Location

Parker-Reed, SSWAC

Start Date

1-5-2014 10:00 AM

End Date

1-5-2014 11:00 AM

Project Type

Poster- Restricted to Campus Access

Description

This presentation will examine the success of Major League Baseball teams in the the Wild Card era (1995-2011) through upper level management. For variables that represent upper level management of baseball teams we will look at several explanatory factors including regular season win percentage, payroll, length of tenure of the general manager and the manager, as well as the highest paid player per team.We are trying identify the major determinant(s) of a successful baseball team in a high stakes environment (such as the playoffs). The central hypothesis is that the most successful teams over this period not only were successful in the regular season but also benefited from stability in the front office as measured by general manager and manager tenure. We also hypothesize that individual player performance will not be the best predictor for playoff success over a long period as few players play for a single team over such a long period of time. Data will come from the BaseballReference.com website. In order to analyze and determine the playoff success in the modern era of baseball, the entire Wild Card era will be taken into account.

Faculty Sponsor

Dan LaFave

Sponsoring Department

Colby College. Economics Dept.

CLAS Field of Study

Social Sciences

Event Website

http://www.colby.edu/clas

ID

605

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May 1st, 10:00 AM May 1st, 11:00 AM

Predicting MLB Playoff Outcomes

Parker-Reed, SSWAC

This presentation will examine the success of Major League Baseball teams in the the Wild Card era (1995-2011) through upper level management. For variables that represent upper level management of baseball teams we will look at several explanatory factors including regular season win percentage, payroll, length of tenure of the general manager and the manager, as well as the highest paid player per team.We are trying identify the major determinant(s) of a successful baseball team in a high stakes environment (such as the playoffs). The central hypothesis is that the most successful teams over this period not only were successful in the regular season but also benefited from stability in the front office as measured by general manager and manager tenure. We also hypothesize that individual player performance will not be the best predictor for playoff success over a long period as few players play for a single team over such a long period of time. Data will come from the BaseballReference.com website. In order to analyze and determine the playoff success in the modern era of baseball, the entire Wild Card era will be taken into account.

http://digitalcommons.colby.edu/clas/2014/program/343